基于三维地质模型的露天煤矿资源储量动态评估方法研究

Research on Dynamic Evaluation Method of Open-pit Coal Mine Resource Reserves Based on 3D Geological Model

  • 摘要: 针对露天煤矿储量评估依赖钻孔数据、难以反映地表形变与采场演化等动态信息,导致估算结果存在数据更新滞后与空间插值不确定性的问题,构建基于三维地质模型的储量动态更新方法。以地质建模平台为基础,融合钻孔、测井、UAV/LiDAR点云等多源数据构建地层结构框架,采用普通克里金与顺序高斯模拟结合的属性估计策略,兼顾点估计精度与空间不确定性表达;在块模型层面引入简化贝叶斯/卡尔曼条件更新与体元枯竭处理机制,实现新数据到达时的模型局部修正;同时构建储量—采掘—扰动耦合协调框架,刻画储量变化与采掘强度、地表扰动的关联。试验区验证表明,该方法可提升储量估计的连续性与一致性,减少局部偏差,具备动态更新可行性,为露天煤矿储量管理提供可实现、可解释的技术途径。

     

    Abstract: Aiming at the existing problem of lagged data updates and spatial interpolation uncertainty in estimation results caused by open-pit coal mine reserves evaluation, which relies on drilling data and is hard to reflect dynamic information such as surface deformation, stope evolution and others, a reserves dynamic update method based on 3D geological model is constructed. Taking the geological modeling platform as the basis, multi-source data such as drilling, well logging, UAV/LiDAR point clouds and others are integrated to construct a stratigraphic structure framework. The attribute estimation strategy combining ordinary kriging and sequential Gaussian simulation is adopted to balance point estimation accuracy and spatial uncertainty expression; Introducing a simplified Bayesian/Kalman condition update and voxel depletion processing mechanism at the block model level to achieve local model correction when new data arrives; Simultaneously constructing a coupled coordination framework of reserves - mining and excavation - disturbance to characterize the correlation between reserves changes, mining and excavation intensity, and surface disturbances. The verification in the testing area shows that this method can improve the continuity and consistency of reserves estimation, reduce local deviation, and has the feasibility of dynamic updating, providing an achievable and interpretable technical approach for reserves management in open-pit coal mines.

     

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